New Delhi: In the tumultuous landscape of Myanmar, China’s multifaceted engagement is casting a long shadow over India’s northeastern region. As China deepens its influence in Myanmar, intelligence agencies warn of a looming threat to India’s security, particularly in Manipur. This strategic maneuvering involves not only economic investments but also military and political support, which is fuelling instability along the India-Myanmar border.
The 1,693-kilometer border between India and Myanmar is a focal point of concern, given China’s aggressive actions. China has positioned advanced radar systems in Yunnan province, allowing it to monitor regional activity closely. Its economic dominance in Myanmar is evident, with Chinese investments accounting for 26% of Myanmar’s foreign direct investment (FDI), and bilateral trade exceeding $2 billion. In contrast, India’s trade with Myanmar is significantly lower, at about $1 billion.
China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is central to its strategy, funding critical infrastructure projects like the Kyaukphyu deep-sea port and extensive road networks. This not only bolsters China’s economic grip but also provides strategic access routes. Moreover, China’s support extends beyond economic ventures; it actively engages with Myanmar’s military junta and arms ethnic groups like the Arakan Army, further destabilizing the region.
This instability spills over into Manipur, undermining India’s regional initiatives such as the India-Myanmar-Thailand Trilateral Highway. The ongoing chaos in Myanmar, fueled by civil war and ethnic armed groups, creates a dangerous environment that inevitably affects India. China’s double game of propping up the junta while backing ethnic armed groups maintains turmoil and prevents Myanmar from achieving stability.
The consequences are being felt in Manipur, which has become a hub for arms smuggling and insurgent activity. Top intelligence officials view China’s activities in Myanmar as a clear and present danger to India’s security. They emphasize the need for strong engagement with Myanmar and regional partners to ensure that the Indo-Myanmar corridor remains favorable to Indian interests.
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